Kennisbank / The challenge of forecasting post-pandemic mortality in the Netherlands and UK

The challenge of forecasting post-pandemic mortality in the Netherlands and UK

Sterfte onderzoek Magazine De Actuaris COVID-19 Vaardigheden
Kennisbank •

The COVID-19 pandemic caused over 7 million deaths globally, and whilst its ongoing impact is still uncertain, the potential for continued higher mortality will persist for years into the future.

The challenge of forecasting post-pandemic mortality in the Netherlands and UK

This poses a significant challenge to the way we model mortality trends, since the statistical models used to forecast a post-pandemic world rely predominantly on pre-pandemic data. What impact does this have on our projections and how can we best mitigate the consequences? Comparing the Netherlands with the UK highlights the issues and allows us to consider potential solutions.


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Over de auteur

Andrew Hunt

Research Director at Pacific Life Re.

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